Michigan State vs Iowa 11/12/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Michigan State winning 48% of simulations, and Iowa 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Michigan State commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Iowa wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Edwin Baker is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Marcus Coker is averaging 119 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA +3

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